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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">medalphabet</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Медицинский алфавит</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Medical alphabet</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2078-5631</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2949-2807</issn><publisher><publisher-name>ООО «Альфмед»</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.33667/2078-5631-2022-9-23-26</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">medalphabet-2634</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Прогнозирование развития тромбоэмболических осложнений и кровотечений у пациентов после протезирования митрального клапана механическими протезами</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Predicting development of thromboembolic complications and complications in patients after mitral valve replacement with mechanical prostheses</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7616-6563</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Маркова</surname><given-names>М. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Markova</surname><given-names>M. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Маркова Маргарита Михайловна, аспирант кафедры внутренних болезней педиатрического факультета</p><p>г. Астрахань</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Markova Margarita M., post-graduate student of Dept of Internal Diseases of Pediatric Faculty</p><p>Astrakhan</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8299-6582</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Полунина</surname><given-names>О. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Polunina</surname><given-names>O. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Полунина Ольга Сергеевна, д. м. н., проф., зав. кафедрой кафедры внутренних болезней педиатрического факультета</p><p>г. Астрахань</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Polunina Olga S., DM Sci (habil.), professor, head of Dept of Internal Diseases of Pediatric Faculty</p><p>Astrakhan</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0866-3939</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Тарасов</surname><given-names>Д. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Tarasov</surname><given-names>D. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Тарасов Дмитрий Георгиевич, к. м. н., зав. кафедрой сердечно-сосудистой хирургии факультета последипломного образования</p><p>г. Астрахань</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Tarasov Dmitry G., PhD Med, head of Dept of Cardiovascular Surgery of Faculty of Postgraduate Education</p><p>Astrakhan</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3679-432X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Полунина</surname><given-names>Е. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Polunina</surname><given-names>E. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Полунина Екатерина Андреевна, д. м. н., доцент кафедры внутренних болезней педиатрического факультета</p><p>г. Астрахань</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Polunina Ekaterina A., DM Sci (habil.), associate professor at Dept of Internal Diseases of Pediatric Faculty</p><p>Astrakhan</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">gilti2@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФГБОУ ВО «Астраханский государственный медицинский университет» Минздрава России</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Astrakhan State Medical University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>05</day><month>06</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>9</issue><issue-title>Кардиология. Современная функциональная диагностика. Неотложная медицина (1)</issue-title><fpage>23</fpage><lpage>26</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Маркова М.М., Полунина О.С., Тарасов Д.Г., Полунина Е.А., 2022</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2022</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Маркова М.М., Полунина О.С., Тарасов Д.Г., Полунина Е.А.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Markova M.M., Polunina O.S., Tarasov D.G., Polunina E.A.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.med-alphabet.com/jour/article/view/2634">https://www.med-alphabet.com/jour/article/view/2634</self-uri><abstract><sec><title>Цель исследования</title><p>Цель исследования. Разработать математическую модель прогнозирования развития тромбоэмболических осложнений и кровотечений у пациентов после протезирования митрального клапана механическими протезами на основе анализа ряда факторов риска – возраст, комплаентность, сердечный ритм на постоперационном этапе, фирма-изготовитель протеза, показатели гемостаза.</p></sec><sec><title>Материалы и методы</title><p>Материалы и методы. Обследовано 260 пациентов. Были проанализированы следующие факторы риска: комплаентность пациента (тест Мориски-Грина), сердечный ритм на постоперационном этапе, фирма-изготовитель протеза («МедИнж», Carbomedics, ATS, On-X), показатели гемостаза (международное нормализованное отношение, активированное частичное тромбопластиновое время, D-димер, фибриноген, растворимые фибрин-мономерные комплексы).</p><p>Результаты исследования и заключение. Частота тромбоэмболических осложнений составила 5,2 случая, кровотечений – 4,7 случая из расчета на 1 тысячу пациенто-месяцев. При увеличении уровня растворимых фибрин-мономерных комплексов на 1 г/л риск развития тромбоэмболических осложнений увеличивался в 1,63 раза, наличие протеза фирмы-изготовителя «МедИнж» увеличивает риск тромбоэмболических осложнений в 2,04 раз по сравнению с протезами других фирм, при пароксизмальной или перманентной формах фибрилляции предсердий риск развития тромбоэмболических осложнений увеличивается в 16,29 раза по сравнению с пациентами с синусовым ритмом. У комплаентных пациентов риск кровотечений в 52,50 (1/0,08) раза ниже по сравнению с некомплаентными, при увеличении активированного частичного тромбопластинового времени на 1 с риск кровотечений увеличивается в 1,07 раза.</p></sec></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><sec><title>The aim of the study</title><p>The aim of the study. To develop a mathematical model for predicting the development of thromboembolic complications and bleeding in patients after mitral valve replacement with mechanical prostheses based on an analysis of a number of risk factors – age, compliance, heart rate at the postoperative stage, prosthesis manufacturer, hemostasis indicators.</p></sec><sec><title>Materials and methods</title><p>Materials and methods. There were examined 260 patients. The following risk factors were analyzed: patient compliance (Morisky-Green test), heart rate at the postoperative stage, prosthesis manufacturer (MedInzh, Carbomedics, ATS, On-X), hemostasis indices (international normalized ratio, activated partial thromboplastin time, D-dimer, fibrinogen, soluble fibrin-monomeric complexes).</p><p>Results of the study and conclusion. The frequency of thromboembolic complications was 5.2 cases, bleeding 4.7 cases per 1000 patient-months. With an increase in the level of soluble fibrin-monomeric complexes by 1 g/L, the risk of thromboembolic complications increases by 1.63 times, the presence of a MedInzh’s prosthesis increases the risk of thromboembolic complications by 2.04 times compared to prostheses of other companies, with paroxysmal or permanent forms of atrial fibrillation the risk thromboembolic complications increase 16.29 times compared with patients with sinus rhythm. In compliant patients, the risk of bleeding is 52.5 (1/0.08) times lower than in non-compliant patients; with an increase in the activated partial thromboplastin time by 1 sec, the risk of bleeding increases by 1.07 times.</p></sec></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>митральный клапан</kwd><kwd>механический протез</kwd><kwd>тромбоэмболические осложнения</kwd><kwd>кровотечения</kwd><kwd>приверженность к лечению</kwd><kwd>гемостаз</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>mitral valve</kwd><kwd>mechanical prosthesis</kwd><kwd>thromboembolic complications</kwd><kwd>bleeding</kwd><kwd>adherence to treatment</kwd><kwd>hemostasis</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Aimo A., Emdin M., De Caterina R. Low-Thrombogenicity Mechanical Heart Valves: Which Antithrombotic Strategy? 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